Great Smoky Mountains Fishing Report 02/11/17
The weather is very weird. At about 1:00 AM this morning, I noticed on the TV screen,
that the temperature was in the high fifties.  Checking a Colorado stream a few minutes
ago this early morning, I noticed the temperature was 57 degrees. They were
forecasting temperatures in the low sixties for today. When I started to write this report
at about 6:30 AM this morning, I noticed the temperature was 56 degrees in Gatlinburg
at the 1600 foot elevation, at elevations where wild trout live. I just noted below, where
tonight's low temperature in Gatlinburg was 56 degrees. I see where tomorrow's high
temperature is 69. By now, I guess your wondering where I'm going with this.

Normally, Blue Quills, Little Brown stoneflies and Quill Gordons start hatching when the
water temperature reaches fifty degrees for two or three days in a row. That is
provided, the weather has been averaging normal temperatures for the past few
months and the life cycle of the insect is near it's one year cycle. The weather has
averaged warmer than normal and for the past three months. The life cycle (from last
years hatches in the lower elevations) to this year is over eleven months but short of
twelve. The warmer temperatures have definitely matured the nymphs faster than
normal, and I'm sure we can expect early hatches if the weather doesn't get cold for
several days in a row. I've mentioned lately that I wanted to check the status of the
nymphs wing pad development and now, I'm really wishing I did because it is leaving
me uncertain, as to when these insects will start hatching. I'm less sure than I should be
and normally am, but considering it is way warmer than normal, and for a few days in a
row, and that has been averaging warmer than normal the last month, I think it is highly
possible we could see hatches of these insects in the lower elevations where wild trout
live very soon, even today. I feel quite certain, they will be some hatches take place
below the elevation wild trout live and just outside the park. Now, that wouldn't be bad
at all, except I have also noticed, the daily temperatures past Monday of next week ,
are going back to a more normal weather pattern. What do I think about that in terms of
hatches? I think it is going to start and stop hatches. Once the pads develop and they
start to hatch at a certain elevation, they usually continue with high rates of cripples.
Those at higher elevation with colder water hold off, and do not start. In other words, I
think we will be seeing sporadic hatches occur for several days or longer.


I'm also certain this isn't bothering anyone near as much as me. I just thought I would
tell several hundred people who read this report daily, that I'm not certain I still have a
sane mind.


Weather: (At Gatlinburg at about 1600 ft)  
Today, there's a 20 percent chance of rain. It will be cloudy, with a high near 61.
Southwest wind around will be around 10 mph. Tonight's low will be around 54. The
chance of precipitation is 30%.

Sunday, there's a 50 percent chance of showers. It will be mostly cloudy, with a high
near 69. Southwest wind will blow from 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday night's low
will be around 31.




Smoky Mountain Stream Conditions:
The streams with links that have nearby USGS Station Real-time stream data: Click the
links to see updates
:

Little River:  Rate 246 cfs at 2.12 ft.
(good wading conditions up to 250 cfs, and with extra caution up to 400 cfs
)

Oconaluftee River: Rate 308 cfs at 1.53 ft.
(good wading up to 500 cfs and with extra caution up to 700 cfs)

Cataloochee Creek: Rate 58 cfs at 2.34 ft  
(good wading conditions up to 125 with extra caution up to 150 cfs)

Little Pigeon River: It is a little low.

Hazel Creek and the other larger NC streams flowing into Fontana Lake:
They are running a little low.

Recommended Trout Flies:
In addition to the two list below, you can always send us an email
(
sales@perfectflystore.com) or call us at 800 594 4726 providing the specific times
you plan on fishing the park, and we will provide a list of flies and other associated
gear and equipment you need.

Trout Flies Currently Needed:
Brown and White Belly Sculpins:
Hook Size 6

Black and/or Olive Matuka Sculpin:
Size 4, 6, 8

Blue-winged olives: 20, and 18
(Little BWOs,
Acentrella, Diphetor, Eastern
and baetis BWOs,
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

Cream Midges - size 20/22
larva
pupa
adults

Winter Stoneflies: 16/18
nymphs
Adults

NEW: Trout Flies You Will Need Soon (Through 2/28/17, in addition to
the above list):
Little Brown Stoneflies: 14
nymphs
adults

Blue Quills: 18
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

Quill Gordons: 12/14
nymphs
emerging duns (wet fly)
duns
spinners

Little Black Caddis: 18
pupa
adults

Recommended Fishing Strategy:
Keep in mind, the strategies I am recommending is for the maximum odds
of catching numbers of fish. Many prefer or favor a dry fly and by all means there isn't
anything wrong with that. It's just a fact that if nothing is hatching at the time, it reduces
your odds of success. You can still probably hook some trout, just not as many as if
you fish subsurface. Of course, this is also based on using good
techniques and the right flies. Some guys don't know how to fish below the surface.

Strategy:
Not all of the insects you see above will be hatching in the same location. It is usually
only two or three. It varies with the elevation. Some are just starting in the low
elevations and some about finished in the higher elevations. If you fished the day or
two before and know where something is hatching, fish the nymph or larva stage of it. If
you haven't fished the day or two before, until I spotted something hatching, I would
fish the BWO nymph. If you spot something hatching (coming off the water), change to
the appropriate emerger, dun or adult imitations of the insect.

Tips for Beginners:
Don't let anyone intimidate you by contending that fly fishing is more difficult to learn
and master than other types of fishing. It isn't.

Tips for the Self Proclaimed Experts:
None

Thank you for visiting our website

James Marsh
Copyright 2017 James Marsh
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