Great Smoky Mountains Fishing Report 04/02/15
As I always do on Thursday, I'm posting the forecast through the weekend. For the
sake of those who can only fish on weekends, I wish the weather pattern would
change, but it looks like the highest chance of rain this week will be on Friday night. I
don't think that should scare anyone aware from coming to the Smokies to fish. I'm
just pointing out that it is going to rain Friday night. The big question is, how much?
As of right now, the weather station predictions range from a little to a lot of rain on
Friday night. The facts are, no one knows and it is difficult to predict this type of
weather pattern. The stations are showing an average of about 0.7 of an inch for
Friday night.

If it was me, myself and I headed to the Smokies to fish, I wouldn't pay any attention
to the forecast and head straight this way. I just try to paint an accurate as possible
picture of the weather and stream conditions. With the stream levels we have now,
my guess is the water will be a little high on Saturday morning but subside as the day
passes. The fish will still be in high gear. It will be a little windy and much cooler
Saturday morning but that shouldn't bother anyone.

There is another good chance of rain next Monday and it could be a "cats and dogs'
rain. I'm basing that strictly on the fact Derek Porter will be fishing the Smokies. He
would have stared in the Rain Man movie but the plot wasn't actually about rain. He
had to settle for being the star of this website and at a much lower compensation.

Weather: (At Gatlinburg at about 1600 ft)  
Today, there is a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after
3pm. It will be partly sunny with a high near 72. South wind will range from 5 to 15
mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Tonight's low will be around 54.

Friday, there is a slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms after 9am. It will be partly sunny with a high near 75. Southwest wind
will range from 10 to 15 mph with gusts as high as 20 mph. The chance of
precipitation is 40%. Friday night's low will be around 45. The chance of precipitation
is 80%.

Saturday, there is a 20 percent chance of showers before 9am. It will be partly sunny,
with a high near 53. North wind will range from 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20
mph. Saturday night's low will be around 34.

Sunday, will be sunny with a high near 63.

Smoky Mountain Stream Conditions:
The streams with links that have nearby USGS Station Real-time stream data: Click
to links to see updates:

Little River: 319 cfs at 2.23 ft.
(good wading conditions up to 250 cfs, and with extra caution up to 400 cfs)

Oconaluftee River: Rate 512 cfs at 1.92 ft.
(good wading conditions up to 500 cfs, and with extra caution up to 700 cfs)

Cataloochee Creek: Rate 121 cfs at 2.65 ft (good wading conditions up to 125 with
extra caution up to 150 cfs)

Little Pigeon River doesn't have a station nearby. It was in good shape yesterday
afternoon.

Hazel Creek and the other larger NC streams flowing into Fontana Lake. My guess
is they are in good shape.

Current Recommended Streams:  You should be able to fish any lower to
medium elevation stream.

Recommended Trout Flies:
Blue-winged Olives:
Hook Size 20/18
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

Blue Quills: 18
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

Quill Gordons: 12/14
nymphs
emerging duns
duns
spinners

Little Black Caddis: 18
pupa
adults

Brown and White Belly Sculpins:
Hook Size 6

Little Brown Stoneflies: 14
nymphs
adults

Hendricksons/Red Quills: 12/14
nymphs
emergers
duns - males and females
spinners - males and females

Recommended Fishing Strategy:
Keep in mind, the strategies I am recommending is for the maximum odds
of catching numbers of fish.
Many prefer or favor a dry fly and by all means there
isn't anything wrong with that. It's just a fact that if nothing is hatching at the time, it
reduces your odds of success. You can still probably hook some trout, just not as
many as if you fish subsurface. Of course, this is also based on using good
techniques and the right flies. Some guys don't know how to fish below the surface.
Strategy:
Until I spotted something hatching, I would fish a size 18 Blue Quill Nymph. They are
little crawler nymphs that are easily caught and eaten by trout and are currently
hatching. If you happen to know where Quill Gordons are currently hatching, you
should start out in the morning fishing a Quill Gordon nymph.

If you spot something hatching (coming off the water) that is relatively small, it will
most likely be Blue Quills, Blue-winged Olives,or Little Black Caddis. It it is relatively
large, it will be a Quill Gordon. Change to the appropriate emerger, dun or adult
imitations of the insect. If you see Blue Quills, BWOs, or Quill Gordons hatching,
there will be a spinner fall late in the day. Often, you can catch more trout fishing the
spinner fall quicker than you can during the hatch. Change to the spinner imitation of
the mayfly.

Tips for Beginners:
None

Tips for the Self Proclaimed Experts:
None

Whatever Hits Me:
Thank you

James Marsh
Copyright 2015 James Marsh
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