Great Smoky Mountains Fishing Report - 04/30/14
Watching the weather that took place in Alabama night before last for almost the
entire night, I was very impressed with the ability of the National Weather Service and
the Weather Channel folks to predict the movement and intensity of the terrible
storms. The newer radar technology is incredible. I was worried about my family, most
all of whom live in Alabama.

I did several instructional videos on the operation of radar for boats for Furuno,
Raytheon, Simrad and others for a few years, and know just enough about it to
realize the improvements that have come about in radar during the last few years are
at least equal to most advancements in other electronics.
That written, I also
noticed that in spite of all of the advancements in electronics, when it
comes to forecasting the weather, today's experts are not really any better
at it than the some of the farmers I knew growing up.

As I have written before, I'm actually glad man can't consistently predict and/or
control the weather.
Imagine the White House being in charge of the
weather!
The fact the weather experts often goof up, just proves that there's a
power in charge of this World that's much, much more powerful than man or the
government of any nation.

In other words folks, all of that just to lead up to the fact that
the weather forecast
for yesterday was off a country mile
and that included the forecast for most of the
eastern United States. They goofed, and this time, I'm glad they did.

Smoky Mountain Weather:
If you enjoy playing poker, you may be inclined to want to know what they have to say
for today's weather. We will have showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then
showers are likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. The high will be near 72.
Southwest winds will be about 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. The
chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight, there's a 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 8pm.

Smoky Mountain Stream Conditions: Surprise, Surprise
The streams with links that have nearby USGS Station Real-time stream data:

Little River: Rate 251 cfs at .1.98 ft.
(good wading conditions up to 250 cfs, and with extra caution up to 400 cfs)

Oconaluftee River: Rate 558 cfs at  1.98 ft.
(good wading conditions up to 500 cfs, and with extra caution up to 700 cfs)

Cataloochee Creek: Rate 121 cfs at 2.65 ft
(good wading conditions up to 125 with extra caution up to 150 cfs)

Little Pigeon River doesn't have a station nearby but It is about normal.

Hazel Creek and the other larger NC streams flowing into Cherokee Lake: My guess
is they are about normal levels.

Any of the streams in the lower to middle elevations.
1. Blue-winged Olives:
Hook Size 16/20
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

2. Sculpins: Especially good in off color, high water & early/late in the day
Hook Size 4/6/8
Black Matuka Sculpin
Olive Matuka Sculpin

3.
Light Cahills:
Hook Size 16/14
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

4.
American March Browns: 10/12
nymphs
emergers
duns
spinners

5.
Giant Black StoneflIies: 4/6
nymphs
adults

6.
Green Sedge (Caddisfly):
Hook Size 14/16
larvae (Green Rock Worms)
pupae
adults


Recommended Fishing Strategy:
Keep in mind, the strategies I am recommending is for the maximum odds of
catching numbers of fish.
Many prefer or favor a dry fly and by all means there
isn't anything wrong with that. It's just a fact that if nothing is hatching at the time, it
reduces your odds of success. You can still probably hook some trout, just not as
many as if you fish subsurface. Of course, this is also based on using good
techniques and the right flies. Some guys don't know how to fish below the surface.
Strategy:
Until I spotted something hatching, I would fish the BWO nymph. Right now you have
two completely different size BWOs hatching, one a size 20 and another closer to a
size 16.  The only time I would change from the nymphs just mentioned is when and if
I saw something hatching, and then I would go to the appropriate emerger or
dun/adult imitation of that insect.

American March Browns are hatching but they are always sporadic hatches that are
difficult to predict in terms of the time of day. They will hatch off and on over a long
period of time, for the next couple of months. If you see any duns emerging, change
to an American March Brown emerger or dun. That also means there will be a
spinner fall late in the day near dark and that always concentrates them. You can
catch several trout very fast if you catch that right.

Giant Black stoneflies are also likely to hatch but the hatch occurs near or after dark.
Fishing the Giant Black stonefly nymph near the banks very late in the day should be
very effective. If you see any Giant Black stoneflies laying eggs, switch to the adult
pattern.

Green Sedges should start to hatch in the lower elevation first, and then progress
upstream as the days go by. The do not hatch in big numbers but where they hatch,
trout will focus on eating them because they hatch at a time of day that is different
from other hatching insects at this time of the year. It usually occurs later in the day
near the same time the previously hatched adults are depositing their eggs. You
should concentrate far more on fishing the Green Rock Worm or larva stage of life of
the Green Sedge.

Tips for Beginners:
No, you can't always depend on my advise. I made a mistake one time, or maybe it
was two. I'm having trouble remembering for sure.

Tips for the Self Proclaimed Experts:
Don't ask me

Whatever Hits Me:
I'm looking forward to meeting a very interesting person this morning.
Copyright 2014 James Marsh
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