07/22/13

Insects and other foods the trout
should be eating:
Hatching:
1.     Cream Cahills
2.     Cinnamon Caddis
3.     Slate Drakes
4.     Little Green Stoneflies
Most available - Other types of food:
5.     Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)
6.      Inch Worms
7.     Grasshoppers
8.     Ants
9.     Beetles






Weather and Stream Conditions Forecast - Coming Week
Currently, most all the streams are high and some are blown out. The forecast for today,
tomorrow and Wednesday doesn't look good. The chances of rain for Gatlinburg ranges
from 70% today down to 40% for Wednesday. That can only make stream levels worse.
This is due to a slow moving to stalled, low pressure system. This isn't the normal isolated
thunderstorm situation common for the month of July.

In my opinion, the forecast from Thursday through the weekend is a big guess on the part
of the experts. They show only a 20% chance of rain for Thursday and Friday but
increase it from 30% to 40% for Saturday and Sunday. That doesn't sound good to me. In
other words, the chances of the streams falling down to wadable levels this week or even
for this weekend just doesn't look good.
I also think the forecast is very much subject
to change - in other words, for the coming weekend, it's a big guess at this point
in time.

Little River is currently rolling along at 1020 cfs and 3.54 feet. Up to 200 cfs is good but
wadable with caution to 400 cfs.

Cataloochee Creek at 247 cfs and 3.09 feet..Up to 125 is good but wadable with caution
up to 150 cfs.

Oconaluftee River is a 663 cfs and 2.13 feet. Up to 500 cfs is good but wadable with
caution up to 700 cfs.

According to my own eyes, the Little Pigeon River is high and rolling.

As you can see, Oconaluftee is in the best shape of the three streams with known levels.

The big question is, how much additional rain will be get today through Wednesday. I don't
think anyone knows close enough to help determine the conditions for this coming
weekend, therefore, I intend to wait until Wednesday or Thursday and provide an update
to the weather situation.
Copyright 2013 James Marsh
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Conditions Forecast - Coming Week
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