04/15/13

Insects and other foods the trout
should be eating:
Hatching:
1.    BWOs (Little BWOs
2.    Little Brown Stoneflies
3.    Quill Gordons
4.    Blue Quills
5.    Little Black Caddis
6.    Hendricksons/Red Quills
7.    Little Short-horned Sedges
8.    American March Browns

Most available - Other types of food:
9.    Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)





Weather and Stream Conditions - Coming Week
I hope the National Weather Forecast for the coming week is wrong. Based on their recent performance, I
stand a good chance of having my wishes come true. Out of town visitors fishing on the weekends just can't
seem to get a break on the weather patterns. From a temperature standpoint, the weekday forecast looks
good but it doesn't look great for the weekend. If the forecast is right, the temperature will be above normal
this week and below normal this weekend.

A larger concern is the amount of rain coming this week. They are not predicting any large amounts of
rainfall but with the streams already high, we don't need any more rain. They predicted only a half inch this
past week, but that turned out to be from one to two inches. The streams are just now getting back down to
safe wading levels.

There's a 60 percent chance of rain for today. Tomorrow looks better with only a slight chance of rain and a
high of 79. Wednesday should be about the same with a high near 83. Thursday also looks good but
another front will move into our area Thursday night. Showers and thunderstorms are likely on Friday.  The
high should be about 69 degrees. The chance of precipitation is shown at 60% but for some reason, they
always seem to increase the odds. I hope that's not going to be the case. It will be another wait and see deal.

At least the weekend is predicted to be clear. Saturday's high should be near 62 degrees with the low that
night around 40. This is a Gatlinburg forecast and you can expect the park to be even cooler. Sunday's high
should be about 67.

I heard from and ran into some very disappointed anglers over the weekend. It seemed that they
expected to see huge hatches and that just wasn't the case. Some expected to see lots of Quill Gordons and
Blue Quills and that wasn't the case at all. To put it bluntly, as I have been writing for the past two months,
the messed up weather has really messed up the early hatches. Most of the Quill Gordons and Blue Quills
were hatching back when the water was still in the high forties while most anglers were either at home, or in
the park fishing using the wrong methods and techniques.

About the only bugs I encountered hatching this past weekend of any importance were stoneflies. That was
really enough but most of the guys I talked to didn't fish stonefly nymphs like they should have been doing.
The high water also hampered the efforts of many anglers. In general, most guys beat the fast water to
death with dry flies with less than anticipated results.

I wish I was wrong, but 'm afraid the messed up weather and its effect on the hatches isn't over.
Copyright 2013 James Marsh
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Conditions Forecast - Coming Week
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Which Flies To Use - Coming Week
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