04/12/13

Insects and other foods the trout
should be eating:
Hatching:
1.    BWOs (Little BWOs
2.    Little Brown Stoneflies
3.    Quill Gordons
4.    Blue Quills
5.    Little Black Caddis
6.    Hendricksons/Red Quills
7.    Little Short-horned Sedges
8.    American March Browns

Most available - Other types of food:
9.    Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)







Update On The Fishing Conditions
At 5:40 this morning, it is still raining in the park and it probably will continue to do so for a while yet.
Although they are still giving some chances of rain for today, it appears the majority of it is over. The front
appears to have passed Knoxville but I guess it is possible to get some more weather from the South today.
As usual, the weather experts missed the  predicted rainfall amounts big time. They were predicting about a
third of an inch as of yesterday morning and the park has already received an average of about an inch.
Some nearby valley areas have received over two inches. The totals for the park may rise some, but
hopefully, not much.

The streams are all rising and too high to safely wade at this time. Little River is flowing at 849 cfs at 3.3 ft.
and still rising. Looking at the current radar, I see it is still raining on the higher sections of the mountains
and I expect the streams to continue to rise some. Whether or not they will be safe to wade tomorrow is a big
question but right now, it isn't looking good at all.

If you plan on fishing today, plan on doing it from the bank or possibly, on some very small streams you can
manage to wade safely. The water is warm even at the higher elevations but it will cool off some tonight. The
water temperature will probably be in the forties in the middle and higher elevations tomorrow. Conditions will
be better on Sunday.

Getting Started - Hint, Hint
Have you ever noticed that when you flip a coin, that even though the chances of it hitting on heads should
be 50 percent, it doesn't seem to always work out that way. If you flip it ten times, you may find it hits on
heads half the time, but I think you may also find it hitting on head 6 or 7 times, or maybe only 2 or 3 times. I
think you will find the results very inconsistent as long as you only flip it a few times. If you flipped it a
thousand times, it would probably hit on heads close to 50 percent of the time, but even then, it may vary
some.

It would be difficult to determine who was going to win the last Presidential election if you knocked on the
door of ten random houses and asked the person coming to the door who they were going to vote for. Even
if you boarded an airplane after each visit to a house and visited houses in different sections of the nation,
as long as you only ask ten or twenty people, your data would still be completely worthless.

If one fished a trout stream for an hour using a Pink Pony fly and caught nothing, then changed to a Purple
People Eater fly and caught three trout during the next thirty minutes, they most likely would begin to swear
the trout would take a Purple People Eater but not a Pink Pony fly. They would not stop to consider that if
they continued using the Pink Pony fly, they may have caught ten trout in the next thirty minutes.

There are many reasons for this. They would be fishing different water at different times, just to mention two.
To shorten this down very, very fast,
let me just say that trial and error fishing is a poor method of
fishing
. In fact, in my opinion, it's completely worthless. Even so, it is the exact strategy most mediocre
anglers use. It's a shortcut used for the best strategy, which is determining and imitating the most available
and plentiful food the trout have to eat at the particular time.
In reality, it's relying on pure luck.

Of course, figuring out what's the most plentiful and available food for the trout to eat is impossible to do if
you know very little about what trout eat, not to mention exactly where and when they go about eating it.

I recently read the advise of a fly shop salesman. He wrote, tie on a beetle. A big old hungry trout
might just eat it.  That's true, but while you are fishing, keep looking up, because an old rotten
tree limb might fall on your head and kill you.  
Copyright 2013 James Marsh
New Schedule of Daily
Articles
Mondays: Weather and Stream
Conditions Forecast - Coming Week
Tuesdays: Fly Fishing Strategies -
Which Flies To Use - Coming Week
Wednesday: Fishing Tales
Thursday: Smoky Mountains Fishing
Report
Friday: Getting Started
Saturday: Fly Fishing School
Sunday: This Week's Featured Trout
Food
More Options For Selecting Flies:
1.
Email us with the dates you will be
fishing the park and we will send
you a list of our fly suggestions.
Please allow up to 24 hours for a
response.

2. Call us at 800-594-4726 and we
will help you decide which flies you
need.

3. Call or email us with a budget for
flies and we will select them and get
them to you in time for your trip.

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