01/14/13

Insects and other foods the trout
should be eating:
Hatching:
1.    BWOs (Little BWOs)
2.    Midges
3.    Little Winter Stoneflies

Most available/ Other types of food:
4.    Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)



Weather and Stream Conditions Forecast - Coming Week
I hope everyone got to enjoy the last several days of nice, warm weather. Yesterday, I talked to two different
guys that had fished Saturday and ended up very disappointed. They called to order flies and complained
that they didn't catch anything. Both were new customers. I'm not mentioning this to imply that there were not
any trout caught in the Smokies this past weekend, just that I didn't see or talk to anyone that did..In each of
these cases the reason for the lack of success was quite obvious. They fished generic flies as if it was March
without making any effort to match those nymphs or hatching insects that were most plentiful and most
available for the trout to eat.

Neither of the guys had flies that were close to the Winter Stonefly nymphs, or the hook size 20 Blue-winged
Olive nymphs. They didn't have anything close to the adult Winter Stoneflies. None of them used a size 20
dry fly that came close to matching the little BWOs. They fished hook size 16 and 14 parachute Adams dry
flies, hare's ear and prince nymphs. They caught exactly what they should have caught and that was nothing

I don't mean to be critical of anyone, but admittedly, they just thought the weather was nice, the water was
warm, and the trout would jump all over anything they threw at them. I warned them that unless they went
again within the next month or so, the flies they purchased from us yesterday probably wouldn't work for them.

We're in for a big weather change - a change back to normal winter weather for the Smokies. Just
how long the cold weather will last is anyone's guess. I think that's probably beyond the weather guys
knowledge. It just seems like what's normal weather, isn't normal any more. I'm sure that doesn't make sense
to you. It doesn't make any sense to me either, but it sure sounds good.

The big question now is
"the amount of rainfall are we going to get". From the looks of the radar, it
appears the rain has ended in the Smokies, but that's certainly not what's in the forecast. One weather site
has us under a flood watch until Wednesday at 7:00 A.M. They show an accumulation of about an inch at
Gatlinburg today and another inch and a half for tomorrow. The stream levels are all on their way up.

Today's high will only reach 53 with a low tonight of 43. Tomorrow's high is shown at 49 with a low of 42 that
night. Wednesday's high should be 52 with a low that night of 35. The chances of rain remains about 80
percent all the way through Wednesday.

The front will pass Thursday with a high reaching 48 but dropping down to 24 Thursday night. Friday's high
will be 46 with another low of 24 that night. Saturday's high will be 50 with the low that night of 26. Sunday's
high 49 with a low that night of 27.
With these highs and lows, you can expect the water temperature  
to only reach about 40 degrees from Thursday until next Monday.

As far as fishing is concerned, you should find conditions near the end of this week and this coming weekend
to be relatively normal for this time of the year.  

Be sure to check tomorrow's Fly Fishing Strategy article.
Copyright 2013 James Marsh
New Schedule of Daily Articles
Mondays: Weather and Stream Conditions
Forecast - Coming Week
Tuesdays: Fly Fishing Strategies - Which
Flies To Use - Coming Week
Wednesday: Fishing Tales
Thursday: Smoky Mountains Fishing Report
Friday: Getting Started
Saturday: Fly Fishing School
Sunday: This Week's Featured Trout Food