01/01/13   Happy New Year

Insects and other foods the trout
should be eating:
Hatching:
1.    BWOs (Little BWOs)
2.    Midges
3.    Little Winter Stonefliesl

Most available/ Other types of food:
4.    Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)


Weather and Stream Conditions Forecast

USGS Stream Flow Data:
Little River at Townsend: Flowing near normal at 311 cfs, height 2.23 ft.
Oconalufteee River outside park: Flowing near normal at 579 cfs,  height 1.87 ft.
Cataloochee River near park: Flowing near normal at 128 cfs, height 2.70 ft.

All the stream are in good shape at this time. Water levels are just a little on the high side and cold, so be
very careful when wading and beware of hypothermia.
NOTE: These levels are subject to change today. It has just started raining and the water may become too
high to wade, so be sure to check the levels from the
links page:

Weather Outlook for the Coming Week:
The weather outlook for the next week is about normal for this time of the year. After today, it should be
sunny and cold for the next few days. The following weather data is based on predictions for Gatlinburg at
1594 feet elevation.

*Today's high will reach about 45 with a 100 percent chance of rain. The rain should end late tonight and the
low be about 35. Some of the current precipitation will come in the form of snow in the higher elevations.
*It should turn sunny
Wednesday with a high near 46 and a low that night of 31.
*Thursday should also be sunny with a high of 44 but going to a cold 24 Thursday night.
*Friday should stay mostly sunny and cold with a high of only 40 and a low that night of 25.
*Saturday will remain sunny and warm up a little to about 47 with a low that night around 29.
*Sunday will remain sunny with a high near 46 with a low that night around 28. .

It is possible some of the snow in the higher elevations will be melting during the week and that may be a
factor in lowering the water temperature even more than the cold air temperatures.

Fly Fishing Strategies - Which Flies To Use - Coming Week
Notice that I have revised the above list of available aquatic insects. I've removed baetis from the list of
Blue-winged olives because it will probably be around mid February before any more
baetis species hatch.
What will be most plentiful until then are a few various species of Little Blue-winged Olives ranging from a
hook size 18 at the largest, down to a size 20 and even smaller.

The most important change is I have added Winter Stoneflies to the list. The nymphs should start developing
wing pads and hatching within the next month or less. They will be either a hook size 18 or 16, depending on
the particular species of the Capniidae family. There are a few different species of Winter stoneflies that will
hatch this Winter. Like most all stoneflies, the nymphs will come out from their hiding places underneath the
rocks and begin to crawl out of the water to hatch. When this is happening, they become an easy target of
the trout.

The most available and plentiful aquatic insects for the trout to eat this coming week will be Midge larvae and
pupae, Little Blue-winged Olive nymphs, and Winter Stonefly nymphs.

If the water temperature is below 45 degrees, and it will be most of the time this coming week, fish an imitation
of a cream midge larva. If you see any midges on the surface hatching or laying eggs, switch to an imitation
of the cream midge pupa. I'm not going into how or where you present this fly. There's plenty of instructions
on our Perfect Fly website for that but keep in mind it should be in very slow moving to almost still water very
near the bottom

If the water temperature gets to 45 or higher, I  would fish a hook size 20 imitation of a Blue-winged Olive
nymph. The same thing applies to how you should go about fishing this nymph as the midge larva imitation. If
you notice any little BWOs hatching (and it is more unlikely than likely based on the forecast of bright sun
and cold water), switch to an emerger imitation.

I haven't mentioned the Winter stoneflies because until the middle of this month or later, or up until the first
time I spotted one on the bank or boulders emerging, or an adult along the banks or in the bushes, I would
hold up placing more importance on their nymphs than either midges or BWOs. If you happen to see any
nymphs on the rocks or banks, or any adults, by all means switch to a Winter stonefly nymph. Again,
information on how to fish this nymph is available on our Perfect Fly website. I'll just mention that you should
fish it right on the bottom very near the banks.

One exception I should mention is that the upper part of Abrams Creek doesn't fit the above strategy. Hint,
hint
Copyright 2013 James Marsh
New Schedule of Daily Articles
Mondays: Weather and Stream Condition
Forecast - Coming Week
Tuesdays: Fly Fishing Strategies - Which
Flies To Use - Coming Week
Wednesday: Fishing Tales
Thursday: Smoky Mountains Fishing Report
Friday: Fly Fishing News and Events
Saturday: Fly Fishing School
Sunday: This Week's Featured Trout Food