11/27/11
Insects and other foods the trout may be eating:
1.    Blue-winged Olives
2.    Little Yellow Quills (
Heptagenia Group) (slight chance)
3.    Needle Stoneflies (slight chance)
4     Great Brown Autumn Sedge (slight chance)
5.    Midges
6.    Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)

Update on Stream and Weather Conditions in the Smokies
The stream water levels have just dropped low enough for safe wading conditions; however, that's
just in time for more rain. We are currently under a flood watch.

Later this morning, there's about a 50 percent chance of rain. That also means there's a 50 percent
chance you can continue to fish today. It will be windy with the low pressure system approaching.
There will be gust as high as 25 MPH. It will also be cloudy but there's little chances of a hatch due to
the warm water. For all practical purposes, the hatches have ended except for BWOs and midges. It's
currently too warm for either of these to be very productive. According to the National Weather
Service, the temperature will reach 65 today in Gatlinburg.

The rain could be heavy at times tonight. The low will only be 51 degrees. That's very warm for the
season. They are forecasting a 90 percent chance of rain for Gatlinburg, so you can rest assured
the higher elevations of the park will get some rain. This continues into Monday with a 100 percent
chance. Tuesday, the odds drop to 50 percent and it will turn colder with a high of around 46.
There's a chance of snow Tuesday night.

There must be a front conflict Tuesday night. They are saying it will rain and snow until 6PM and from
7PM to 9PM the precipitation will change to rain. Then it will change back to rain and snow after 9PM.
Wow! They can get rather detailed at times even though they miss the entire forecast at times. About
the only thing I take from this is that in the higher elevations, that probably means snow,. There can
be temperature inversions but they are rather unusual.

All this also means at just the time we should expect some good Blue-winged Olive (
baetis species)
hatches, the water levels will be too high to wade safely. It also means the spawning activity may be
slowed down some because of the very warm weather.

I think most of the browns, at the higher elevations where browns exit, have finishing their spawning
but there's still plenty spawning in progress in the middle and lower elevations. The overall spawning
activity is decreasing and will probably be over within the next couple of weeks at the latest. Let's just
hope this coming rain isn't heavy enough to have an adverse affect on the eggs.
Copyright 2011 James Marsh