10/27/11
Insects and other foods the trout may be eating:
1.    Blue-winged Olives
2.    Little Yellow Quills (
Heptagenia Group)
3.    Needle Stoneflies
4     Slate Drakes
5     Sculpin, Minnows (Streamers)
6.    Grasshoppers
7.    Ants
8.    Beetles
9  .  Craneflies
10.  Great Brown Autumn Sedge

Upcoming Stream And Weather Conditions For The Smokies
Thursday is usually the day we provide our forecast of what to expect of the weather
and stream level and flow conditions for the coming weekend in Great Smoky
Mountains National Park. Sometimes we wait until Friday but that's usually because
we are completely unsure of what the stream levels may be. It's sometimes difficult to
predict the amount of rainfall that's expected in the mountains because it can vary
considerably from the local weather forecast predictions for the nearby metros in the
valleys of Tennessee and North Carolina.

A cold front is moving into the Smokies in the normal northwest to southeast direction,
bringing some cooler air behind it. This becomes the normal expected weather pattern
for the Southeast from about this time of the year until late Spring. You can expect the
pattern to repeat itself every few days. They are predicting about a 70 percent
chance of  rain this afternoon at Gatlinburg. The chances of rain and a possible
thundershower continues through the night and on into Friday and early Friday night.
They are only expecting about a half inch of rain from this but again, that amount can
vary from the forecast in the higher elevations of the mountains. We will also probably
end up with some white stuff on the highest peaks.

At the current time the stream levels are in great condition and from what I can
determine from the forecast, they should remain in great shape on into next week.
The water will probably rise some but the streams should remain in good shape for
the weekend. They could become a little off color and high late Friday and Saturday
but unless far more rain falls than is expected, that will just make it a little easier to
fool the trout.

The brook trout are in the full swing of their annual spawning activity. They usually
start and finish their reproduction cycle before the brown trout because of their higher
elevation habitats. The brown trout are either moving upstream to their spawning
areas, in the process of building their redds, or in the actual process spawning.

You should try to avoid wading through their redds. They are normally located in the
shallow tailends of the pools and shallow riffles, but they can be located anywhere
there's good spawning gravel, decent flows and water depths. If you pay attention
when your wading you can avoid damaging the redds.

I intended to fish yesterday but didn't because of the wind. That's really a lousy
excuse because the wind was not that bad. I really just decided to work and to fish
some today after the clouds arrive. It will probably be just as windy or most likely
worse than it was yesterday. I'm waiting on just the right opportunity to sneak up on
the large smallmouth bass I've found in Sevierville but so far, that's been impossible.

If I can just catch the water "six feet high and a rise'in", like the lyrics of the great
Johnny Cash's song "how high is the water mama", I will have a big surprise for them
called a Perfect Fly. So far, they have managed to outsmart me without making any
effort to do so. I don't have to spook them to know that so far, I haven't stood even a
small chance to get within casting range of them. I haven't tried because I know what
the results would be. If mother nature will get the water level up and stained just right,
I think I can trick one of them, but otherwise, I guess I'll just have to be satisfied with
seeing them from a distance when the water is low and clear.

Copyright 2011 James Marsh