06/07/11
Insects and other foods the trout may be eating:
1.    Blue-winged Olives
2  .  Green Sedges (Caddis)
3.    Cinnamon Caddis (mostly Abrams Creek)
4.    Little Sister Caddis (mostly Abrams Creek)
5.    LIght Cahills
6.    Little Short-horned Sedges
7.    American March Browns
8.    Eastern Pale Evening Duns
9.    Sulphurs
10.  Little Yellow Stoneflies
11.  Little Green Stoneflies
12.  Golden Stoneflies
13.  Slate Drakes
14.  Streamers (Sculpin, Minnows)
15.  Inch Worms
16.  Grasshoppers
17.  Ants
18.  Beetles

Current Weather and Stream Conditions in the Smokies
The weather forecast is staying just about the same as it has been for the past
couple of weeks. So far, the 20 percent chance of rain that has been given for most
recent days has amounted to zero percent at my home near the Spur.

National Weather Service Forecast for Gatlinburg - Not Good . There's not
much chance of rain, but there's hope. Looking at the forecast (see below), it
appears that there's almost a one out of three chance (30%) it will rain this coming
weekend. It appears that's about as good as it going to get.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny
and hot, with a high near 91.
Tuesday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.

Wednesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 93.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind around 5 mph.

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly
sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Thursday Night: A 10 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny and hot,
with a high near 91. Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny and
hot, with a high near 90. Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a
high near 88. Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Stream Levels in the Smokies are very, very low. From a stream flow
standpoint, there's little difference in the current conditions and in what happened
during the quote, "drought" situation of 2007.

Little River

Cataloochee Creek

Oconaluftee River

All three of these streams are nearing their all time low flow points.

Concerning drought conditions, take a look at this
U. S. Drought Monitor. It shows
the Smokies to be in great shape.
Even from a drought forecast standpoint, this
website shows Tennessee and Western North Carolina to be in good shape. I
guess that means the water table is still high, but I'm not sure that applies to the
specific area of the Great Smoky Mountains. I question its accuracy; however, you
can put what I know about droughts in a thimble. I just know the streams are very
low and the water temperatures are high and its only the first week of June.

I drove up into the park yesterday afternoon and took the water temperature in the
Little Pigeon River near the Chimney Picnic Area. It was 67 degrees. That tells me
that anything below that elevation is getting too warm to fish during the late
afternoons. I would recommend fishing even higher than that.


2011 James Marsh